Redeveloping
the Spitak region with new investments for sugar beets processing - producing
jobs and sugar for Armenia -- is currently estimated to require investments in
the range of $110-135 million. TDA has assisted the Union of Consumer Societies
(Hay Co-Op), to organize the Spitak Community efforts to re-establish the sugar
industry by incorporating as Spitak Sugar Corporation, working with leading US
Sugar industry consultants - FC Schaffer & Associates. A feasibility study
to resurrect the sugar industry is currently being conducted for Hay Co-Op by
Schaffer & Associates International, LLC. (SAIL) under the U.S. TDA Grant
Agreement No:GH0820471. The information presented below is preliminary as the
study is due to be completed by July 2001. It briefly summarizes key aspects of
the study and the information gathered thus far. Company: Spitak Sugar Corporation
Ltd. to be incorporated with Armenian and international ownership. Hay Co-Op,
the feasibility study client expects to own a majority stake in the newly formed
corporation Amount: To be finalized after a majority of the engineering analysis
is complete. Early indications, however, indicate the amount to be in the region
of $110-$135 million. Tenor/Terms: Range of equity participation considered
appropriate at pre-feasibility stage: 15 - 25%. Debt funding for remaining 75-85
% expected from conventional term loans (approx. 20 years) -- anticipated blended
rate: 7% -- 9%. Documentation: The Spitak Sugar Corporation Ltd. is currently
being registered and will be associated with the newly formed Spitak Development
Association (SDA). SDA is made up of representatives of the Spitak Town Authority,
the Spitak Farming Community Union and an international organization, Environmental
Preservation International Ltd. (EPIL). SDA will function to ensure that the
farming community and the local town authorities coordinate with the Spitak Sugar
Corporation Ltd. and assist with the management of beet development, beet contracts
and labor provision. As this is a pre-feasibility stage, licenses and agreements
are still in the draft stage. Use of Funds: Range in US$ million Factory
(including processing equipment) 83.0 - 93.0 Agricultural Infrastructure and
equipment 5.2 - 5.8 Beet crop development costs 3.4 - 3.8 Pre-project expenses
1.8 - 2.0 Interest during construction 2.0 - 2.5 Project fees 11.2 - 12.3 Project
contingency 10% 10.7 - 12.5Factory will consist of equipment to process 3,500
tons of beets per day with a refinery capability of approximately 500 tons sugar
per day. This shall include all the main sugar processing equipment, together
with all the ancillary equipment such as boilers, electrical generating equipment,
rail and road access, effluent treatment and animal feed palletizing plant. Agricultural
equipment envisaged to be purchased should include tractors, harvesting machines,
seed machines and general farming implements. Infrastructure requirements include
capital provided to assist the farmers in re-establishment of infield irrigation
and drainage channels, together with minor irrigation equipment. Funds are
allocated to provide seed and operating capital to start developing the 6,000
ha for beet production. Project and Engineering Fees cover items such as engineering,
project management, site construction management, freight, insurance, construction
interest, etc. Legal Status: The Spitak Sugar Corporation Ltd. shall be
a legally registered company in accordance with internationally accepted practices,
stock ownership and equity participation. Local Strategic Partners: In parallel
with the ongoing feasibility study, various Armenian and US entities have been
approached for strategic partnerships. SAIL has expressed an interest in participating
as the technical partner assisting in design and management of the factory. Additional
partnerships are being solicited and developed with transporters of raw materials
/ finished product and distributors of refined sugar. Supply contracts will be
set up with the local fruit canning and fruit juice industries. Once the feasibility
nears completion other trade partnerships will be investigated for exporting and
distributing refined sugar in neighboring countries. In addition partnerships
with the local dairy and beef industries to supply high grade animal feed, and
with local distillers to sell off the excess molasses are being pursued Several
international parties have also expressed a willingness to take up some equity.
Once the feasibility study is completed, an extensive marketing effort shall be
undertaken to identify further interested investors and financiers Current
Operations: None. Sales and Marketing Plan: It is anticipated that the factory
will process 300,000 tons of beet per annum with an approximate sugar production
of 42,000 tons in 110 days. Another 86,400 tons of refined sugar is expected to
be refined from imported raw sugar. This represents a total of approximately 128,400
tons of sugar. A projection of annual official figures indicates that over next
five years, sugar consumption will even out at between 80,000 and 100,000 tons
annually, allowing approximately 30,000 tons to be exported to neighboring countries.
The entire production is to be sold in 50 kg bags and distributed to the local
retail market as Spitak Sugar Corporation Ltd. sugar. It is currently too early
to determine the retail sugar price. The factory will also benefit from producing
approximately 25,000 tons of high-grade animal-feed pellets that will compete
with world market quality. This will largely replace costly animal feed and support
the beef and dairy industries. A small amount of molasses, i.e., approximately
3,500 tons, will be produced and sold to distillers. Business Plan: After
finalizing the technical aspects and the feasibility of the project, a business
plan will be developed. Current indications suggest that full factory production
could be anticipated in 5 years after commissioning with positive cash flows expected
after the 3rd year of operation. Current IRRs and ROEs are expected between 14-18%
and 40-46% respectively. Most importantly, the economic return of the project
derives from generating urgently needed employment opportunities and obviating
the need for costly imports. It is therefore anticipated that the economic rates
of return will be approximately 60% -- the largest economic benefits accruing
to the Spitak region. Competition: Currently competition is from imported sugar
brought in from Iran and other neighboring countries. Investment, Capital Cost
and Financing Structure Proposed: As detailed above, the estimated capital cost
at this early stage is between $110-135 million. The financing structure will
be developed in due course. Regulatory Considerations: It is expected that
the Government will levy taxes on imported refined sugar for a period of 5 years
thereby allowing domestic sugar industry to establish itself and grow thereafter.
Subsequently, once international transport barriers are removed this protection
is expected to be phased out. |